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Wednesday, September 2, 2026

  1. Advisory

    The Coast Is Clearing. East Texas Is Not. Start Recovery in Sequence.

    National Weather Service storm total rainfall forecast for Tropical Depression Edouard, showing the heaviest expected totals shifting inland across east-central Texas, with maximum amounts up to 12 inches.
    SourceNOAA Weather Prediction Center storm total rainfall forecast. This graphic updates automatically on WPC's own schedule, so it reflects the current forecast rather than the forecast at the time of this post.

    Edouard is a tropical depression winding down, and advisories moved from the National Hurricane Center to the Weather Prediction Center overnight. That handoff is the clearest signal available that the tropical phase is finished. What remains is a rain problem. As of Advisory 8, issued 4:00 AM CDT Wednesday, the center is about 70 miles northwest of Beaumont and 30 miles south-southwest of Lufkin, moving north-northwest at 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. Pressure is 1004 mb. Edouard should dissipate Wednesday night. Every tropical wind and surge product has been discontinued. Flood Watches are what is left, covering the Upper Texas Coast into portions of eastern Texas. The rainfall forecast went up again. Totals along the storm path are now 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts up to 12 inches across the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, and 2 to 4 inches across southwest Louisiana. That is the fourth consecutive increase. Flash flooding is likely, significant flash flooding is possible, and river flooding may follow. The important detail is that the threat is moving, not ending. Heavy rain bands are pulling north of the Upper Texas coast and southwest Louisiana this morning, then tracking across east-central Texas through Thursday morning. Your coastal sites and your inland sites are on different clocks today. If your sites are near Port Arthur, Beaumont, or Cameron Parish, this is your assessment window. Conditions are improving and you can get people moving. If your sites are inland toward Lufkin and east-central Texas, do not treat this as over. The worst of your rain has not arrived, and river flooding runs behind the rainfall rather than with it. Some areas will crest Thursday or Friday on water that fell today. For sites that are clearing, recovery order matters more than recovery speed. This is where equipment and data get lost, usually by people trying to be helpful. Walk the space before you energize anything. Look for standing water, water lines on walls and racks, and wet cabling, especially at floor level and in any below-grade space. Photograph what you find before touching it. Energizing wet equipment is how a device that survived the storm dies during recovery. Bring things up in order rather than all at once. Utility power stable and verified first, then network core, then storage, then servers, then workstations. Powering everything on simultaneously puts a large inrush load on a grid that may still be unstable, and it makes diagnosis impossible when something does not come back. Verify your last known good backup before restoring from it. A backup job that ran during an outage can report success and still be unusable. Check the restore point, not the job status, and test a restore of something small before you trust the set. Do not declare a site operational until data integrity is confirmed. A system that boots is not a system that is correct. Watch for delayed failures over the next week. Water that reached a power supply, corroded contacts, and UPS batteries that discharged deeply during the outage all tend to fail days later, not immediately. Plan a follow-up check rather than closing the incident Friday. Finish the documentation while it is fresh. Outage times, affected circuits, equipment exposed to water, and what was running when power dropped. Insurance and the post-incident review both depend on records created during the event, and memory degrades fast once everyone is back to normal work. On the Florida side, the picture is clear. This morning's NHC Tropical Weather Outlook shows no active systems in the Atlantic basin other than Edouard and states that tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next seven days. The remnants of Dolly, which we were tracking Sunday, never redeveloped. Our team is distributed and monitoring continues across all client environments. Recovery work began before any office reopened, and account teams are working affected environments directly. This is our last scheduled update on Edouard. We will post again if conditions change, if river flooding develops beyond what is currently forecast, or when the next system warrants it.

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Tuesday, September 1, 2026

  1. Advisory

    Landfall Confirmed in Cameron Parish. The Rain Forecast Went Up, Not Down.

    The wind part of this event is ending. The water part just got worse. NHC confirms Edouard made landfall in southwestern Cameron Parish, Louisiana at 2:20 PM CDT as a 50-knot tropical storm. It strengthened through landfall, which is what NHC had warned was possible and what the official forecast could not fully capture. Landfall was in Louisiana, not Texas, and it happened about an hour before our previous post, which described the center as still approaching the coast. NHC had not declared it at that point. We are noting the sequence so the record is straight. As of Intermediate Advisory 6A, issued 7:00 PM CDT, the center is about 10 miles northwest of Beaumont, Texas, moving northwest at 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds are down to 45 mph. Pressure is back up to 1000 mb. The center passed directly over the Beaumont metropolitan area this evening. What was measured on the ground: Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport recorded a wind gust of 69 mph and a minimum pressure of 998.2 mb as the center crossed the station. Earlier, Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana reported sustained winds of 44 mph with a gust to 52 mph, and Port Arthur reported sustained winds of 40 mph gusting to 49 mph. The Tropical Storm Warning has been cut back to High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana. Edouard should weaken to a tropical depression tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night. Here is the part that matters. NHC raised the rainfall forecast. Totals are now 3 to 7 inches with maximum amounts up to 12 inches across the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, up from 3 to 6 inches with a 9 inch maximum this morning. NHC added the phrase significant flash flooding is possible, which was not in earlier advisories. The heavy rain threat now runs through Thursday morning rather than ending with the storm. So do not stand down tonight. A weakening storm with a rising rain forecast is the specific situation where people relax at the wrong moment. The wind threat is largely finished. The flooding threat is still ahead of most of the affected area, and it is worst overnight when nobody is watching and a foot of water on a road is invisible. For the next 12 hours, the useful work is watching and recording. Keep logging outages with timestamps as they happen. Photograph water intrusion when you find it, before cleanup. Do not send anyone to a site overnight to check on equipment. Flash flooding kills people in vehicles more than anywhere else, and there is no server worth that. When you do start bringing things back, sequence it. Restore power to one circuit at a time rather than everything at once, and let equipment come up in order rather than all together on a grid that may still be unstable. Verify your last good backup before restoring anything from it, because a backup that ran during an outage can complete successfully and still be useless. Confirm data integrity before declaring a site operational, not after. Our team is distributed and monitoring runs continuously. Recovery work can begin before any office physically reopens, and for several client environments it already has. NHC issues the next complete advisory at 10:00 PM CDT. We will post a recovery and assessment update Wednesday morning.

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  2. Advisory

    Edouard at the Coast Near Port Arthur at 60 mph. Flooding Is the Rest of the Event.

    Edouard is coming ashore now, and it strengthened the whole way in. The 3:00 PM CDT position update puts the center about 5 miles south of Port Arthur, Texas and 35 miles west of Cameron, Louisiana, moving northwest at 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 60 mph. Minimum central pressure is 996 mb. That is the strongest Edouard has been. It came ashore near its peak, which is what NHC warned about this morning when Forecaster Reinhart noted the official forecast could not easily reflect the strengthening still expected before landfall. Observed conditions so far: a National Ocean Service station at Port Arthur reported sustained winds of 40 mph with a gust to 49 mph. Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana reported sustained winds of 44 mph with a gust to 52 mph. Two alerts were dropped at 1:00 PM CDT and the reason matters. The Hurricane Watch was discontinued because the window for hurricane conditions closed as the center reached the coast, not because Edouard weakened. The Storm Surge Warning was discontinued and replaced by a National Weather Service Coastal Flood Warning, with the surge forecast lowered to 1 to 3 feet from High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish line. That one is a real reduction in threat. The water came in lower than feared. The Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish line. What is left is the part that was always going to matter most. Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts up to 9 inches across the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, and 2 to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. NHC says flash flooding is likely, especially in urban areas, and river flooding may also be possible. Rain continues through Wednesday as the remnants track inland. A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening over southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. The preparation window is closed. If something did not get done this morning, it does not get done now. Do not send anyone outside to secure equipment, check a generator, or move a vehicle while tropical storm conditions are spreading across the area. Nothing in a server room is worth a drive through a flooded street. What is useful for the next several hours is documentation. Log every outage with a timestamp when it happens, not from memory tomorrow. Note which circuits, which sites, and what was running at the time. Photograph any water intrusion as you find it, before anyone starts cleanup. Insurance and post-incident review both depend on records created during the event, and that is the one thing that cannot be reconstructed afterward. Hold off on restoring anything that dropped until conditions stabilize. Bringing equipment back up during an active power event risks a second failure on dirty power, and a device that survived the outage can still be lost to the restoration. Houston and east-central Texas have not seen the worst of their rain yet. The center tracks inland tonight, and the flash flooding risk moves with it. If your exposure is drainage rather than wind, tonight and Wednesday morning are your window, not this afternoon. Our team is distributed and monitoring runs continuously. Recovery work can begin before any office physically reopens. Your account team will contact you directly if your environment needs attention. NHC issues the next complete advisory at 4:00 PM CDT. We will post a recovery update Wednesday morning.

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  3. Advisory

    Hurricane Watch Issued. Edouard May Approach Hurricane Strength Before Landfall Today.

    Edouard escalated overnight. If you have people or sites on the upper Texas or southwest Louisiana coast, read this one. As of NHC Intermediate Advisory 4A, issued 7:00 AM CDT Tuesday, Edouard is centered about 40 miles south-southeast of Cameron, Louisiana and 70 miles east-southeast of Port Arthur, Texas. Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph. Pressure has fallen to 1003 mb from 1010 mb last evening, measured by aircraft. Movement is west-northwest at 8 mph. Three things changed since last night. A Hurricane Watch is now in effect from High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana. Hurricane conditions are possible there within 6 to 12 hours. The Storm Surge Watch became a Storm Surge Warning from High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish line, with peak values of 3 to 5 feet above ground level. NHC describes this as a life-threatening situation and directs anyone in that area to follow evacuation instructions from local officials. That guidance comes ahead of anything in this advisory. And the intensity forecast moved up sharply. NHC now forecasts 65 mph at landfall and says Edouard could approach hurricane strength before reaching the coast later today. Reconnaissance aircraft found a nascent low-level eyewall trying to form. Sea surface temperatures are 31 C and wind shear is running about 4 knots, which is close to ideal for intensification. Forecaster Reinhart calls the intensity forecast problematic and notes that some hurricane models bring Edouard to hurricane strength before landfall. The Tropical Storm Warning still runs from Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish line, with tropical storm conditions reaching the coast this morning. Edouard is small. Tropical-storm-force winds extend only 25 miles from the center. Small storms intensify faster and their impacts shift a long way with a modest track change, and the track nudged west overnight. Do not plan around your site being just outside the line. Rainfall is unchanged and remains the widest-reaching threat: 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches from the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, and 2 to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. NHC says flash flooding is likely, especially in urban areas, with river flooding possible. A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening over southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. Landfall is expected later today near the Texas and Louisiana border, moving inland over eastern Texas tonight. Rapid weakening follows, with Edouard becoming post-tropical within about 36 hours. The outdoor window is closing this morning. Anything requiring someone outside a building should be finished before tropical storm conditions reach the coast. If you have not already: confirm your most recent backup completed and verify the restore point rather than the job status. Move equipment off ground-level and below-grade floors. Shut down and unplug anything non-essential at coastal sites rather than leaving it to ride out a power event. Test remote access from an offsite connection now, while you can still fix it. Charge hotspots, on-call phones, and UPS units. Get a current printed contact list into the hands of whoever is on call, because cellular congestion is common near landfall and a shared document you cannot reach is not a contact list. Remote employees in the warning area need a direct call this morning. Residential power and residential internet fail earlier and restore later than commercial service. Ask each person where they will work if the house goes dark, and confirm you have a phone number that reaches them without internet. Our team is distributed and monitoring runs continuously across all client environments. Recovery work can begin before any office physically reopens. Your account team will contact you directly if your environment needs attention today. NHC issues the next complete advisory at 10:00 AM CDT. We will post again after landfall.

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Monday, August 31, 2026

  1. Advisory

    Tropical Storm Edouard Named. Texas Landfall Tuesday, Rain Is the Threat.

    The system we flagged last night is now Tropical Storm Edouard. As of NHC Intermediate Advisory 2A, issued 7:00 PM CDT Monday, Edouard is centered about 140 miles southeast of Cameron, Louisiana and 175 miles southeast of Port Arthur, Texas. Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph. Minimum central pressure is 1010 mb. The storm is moving west-northwest at 6 mph, and additional strengthening is expected before the center reaches the northwest Gulf Coast Tuesday. It should move inland over southeast Texas Tuesday night. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish line. A Storm Surge Watch covers High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish line. What matters operationally is the rain, not the wind. Tropical-storm-force winds extend only 25 miles from the center, and NHC forecasts a peak near 60 mph before landfall. That is a nuisance for most buildings. The rainfall forecast is a different matter: 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals near 9 inches across the Upper Texas Coast and inland through east-central Texas, and 2 to 3 inches in far southwest Louisiana. NHC expects flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and urban areas, with river flooding possible. Storm surge runs 2 to 4 feet from High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish line, and 1 to 3 feet from there to Morgan City. Houston is the exposure. Urban drainage, ground-floor equipment, and parking structures are the failure points in a rain event like this one, not roofs and windows. Tuesday morning is the last clean working window. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast within the warning area by Tuesday morning, which makes outside preparation difficult or dangerous after that. If you have sites, equipment, or staff in the warning area, finish these tonight or first thing Tuesday. Confirm your most recent backup completed and verify the restore point, not just the job status. Get anything on a ground floor or in a below-grade space off the floor. Test remote access from an offsite connection so you know it works before someone needs it in the dark. Charge hotspots, on-call phones, and UPS units. Remote employees in the warning area need a direct conversation, not a group email. Residential power and residential internet fail earlier and come back later than commercial service, and a flooded street means someone is not driving anywhere for a day or two. Ask each person whether they have a power fallback, a connectivity fallback, and somewhere to work if the house goes dark. Most will not have thought about it. Our team is distributed and monitoring runs continuously across all client environments. Your account team will contact you directly if your environment needs attention before landfall. NHC issues the next complete advisory at 10:00 PM CDT. We will post again Tuesday morning.

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Sunday, August 30, 2026

  1. Advisory

    Northern Gulf: What Texas and Louisiana Sites Should Do Monday

    Tonight's earlier advisory covered the Florida picture. This one covers the northern Gulf, which carries the higher near-term odds and affects client sites along the Texas and Louisiana coasts. NHC is tracking a low pressure area about 125 miles south of southeastern Louisiana, designated AL97. It became better organized Sunday. A short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coast Tuesday or Tuesday night. Formation odds stand at 50 percent through 48 hours. Regardless of whether it develops, locally heavy rainfall is expected along those coasts over the next two days. Small systems have a long history of organizing quickly in the northwestern Gulf, helped by the shape of the coastline and very warm water. Treat the Tuesday timeline as the constraint, not the current intensity. Monday is the working window. If you have offices, equipment, or staff anywhere between Galveston and southwestern Louisiana, confirm backups completed in the last 24 hours, completed rather than configured. Verify remote access works from an offsite connection before someone needs it under pressure. Charge hotspots, on-call phones, and anything sitting on a UPS. One group gets missed almost every time: employees who work from home in the affected area. They have no generator, no UPS, and no facility checklist, and their exposure does not show up on any office roster. If your business has remote staff along the Gulf Coast, Monday is the day to ask them directly whether they have power backup, a connectivity fallback, and a plan for where they work if the house goes dark. Most will not have thought about it, because nobody asked. Our team is distributed and monitoring is continuous across all client environments regardless of which coast is affected. Your account team will reach you directly if your environment needs attention before Tuesday. We will post again Tuesday, sooner if the system organizes faster than forecast.

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  2. Advisory

    Preparedness Mode: Watching the Remnants of Dolly

    We are moving to Preparedness Mode. Here is why, and why we do not expect this to become a wind event for Florida. The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly are moving west to west-northwest near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands at about 25 mph, with no closed circulation. In Sunday's National Hurricane Center outlooks, redevelopment odds sit near zero percent through 48 hours and no higher than 20 percent through seven days. NHC notes conditions may become somewhat more favorable by mid-week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf. A separate low in the northern Gulf strengthened Sunday and could become a short-lived depression or storm before reaching the Louisiana or Upper Texas coast. That system is not a Florida concern. What this means for Florida businesses: rain, not wind. Forecast models show widespread totals of 2 to 4 inches across South Florida over the next seven days, with locally higher amounts, plus rough surf and elevated rip current risk through the holiday weekend. The realistic operational impacts are localized street flooding, brief power interruptions, and slow commutes. What we are doing: our operations team has moved from daily checks to the full four-times-daily NHC outlook cycle, and we are verifying backup completion and remote access paths across client environments. Our team is distributed, so client networks stay monitored whether or not offices are open. What is worth an hour this week: confirm your team can work from home if a street floods, and test that from an offsite connection. Check that backups completed in the last 24 hours, completed rather than just configured. Charge the devices that matter, including hotspots and the on-call phone. We will post an update Tuesday, sooner if the mid-week window changes anything, and we will return to Normal Monitoring when this clears. If nothing develops, we will say so plainly.

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